[CFUD] Cry Wolf 138 - Ion

[dreamsofahero]

Well, if you don't mind telling me, I'm certainly curious to know who the other sheep is.

Comments

[dreamsofahero]

Well, it's not impossible that they were both wolves, if quite improbable.

[tsunthuselah]

We can't count on being that lucky.

[dreamsofahero]

Of course not, though we can't rule out the possibility. In any case, it's probably best to wait and focus on whatever clue we receive today.

[tsunthuselah]

So who do you have in mind?

[dreamsofahero]

Peach. Ever since last night's ousting I'd been considering him, to tell you the truth. Especially since Peacock has generally been fairly helpful in deciphering the clues, and was one of the first to vote on Scarlett last night, even before it was clear that voting was going to swing that direction. Peach, on the other hand, has been fairly unpredictable. And while he said at the beginning he didn't like the idea of deceiving anyone, I imagine. his other self is quite capable of it.

Incidentally, regardless of who the wolf is this time, that leaves only you, Sano, and Tiffany for the third wolf, assuming we didn't oust one the first night. As I've been collaborating with both the other two in private, it seemed safer to give my opinion here where neither can see it.

[tsunthuselah]

That's... fair. I'm not sure about him.

I'm not totally sure what to make of your clue yet. You and Peacock have voted about the same, and Peach was with you yesterday He didn't have to vote the first day, so there's nothing to compare then...

[dreamsofahero]

*nods*

Frankly, I don't know much about either of them, but since I suspected something like this might happened, I'd already been considering both, and concluded that Peach seems to be the less reliable. At the very least, it's impossible to tell whether or not he's truly lying or simply oblivious if his other self is involved somehow...

[dreamsofahero]

Anyway, I'm going to tell this to you and only you, so if I'm ousted or eaten, do with it what you will. Since there's reason to believe you're a sheep, as you received that first clue, you may want to share it with someone else you implicitly trust, in case the remaining wolf or wolves does target you tonight.

These are my suspicions regarding Sano and Tiffany.

Sano has given me no particular reason to suspect him, nor any reason not to. Though frankly, were he actually a wolf, I almost would have expected him to favor taking me out immediately. Not so much as to eliminate a threat, but... *shrugs, there IS an ongoing prank war in their cabin, after all* He did mention early on that while he wasn't sure he could trust me, he was going to need me as I was the only one he knew in the game, which may support an argument that he's a sheep. On the other hand, he's been absent a fair bit, and not talking to me as often as I'd expect if he were a sheep and seeking advice or input on how to vote. It isn't proof, as he could simply be slacking off, but it's something to consider.

Tiffany I don't know as well, but she's often seemed to be suspicious of any suggestion put forth, and generally doesn't commit to a course of action very quickly. She also voted for Azure in the last ousting, which could have been an honest mistake, but it's hard to be certain. I did ask her to agree to not to spread information about the safe sheep, which she agreed to and said that she didn't tell anyone when Kara was targeted anyway. Really, I'd rather have a little more to go on to make a decision either way.